Synthetic Savants

As generative AI sweeps the world, how will it transform the way we work and innovate?

We live in an age of intelligent machines. Since the introduction of consumer-facing artificial intelligence (AI) applications such as OpenAI’s ChatGPT and Google’s Bard over the past year, generative AI has transformed how people work around the world.

From $40 billion in 2022, the market size for generative AI will balloon to $1.3 trillion over the next 10 years, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. First popularized through image generators, the technology has been applied in fields ranging from neuroscience to advertising, sometimes in surprising ways.

Generative AI programs like the large language models powering ChatGPT are trained on enormous volumes of data to sense patterns and predict how they will play out in a piece of content. These models can be trained on linguistic, financial, scientific, sensor, or other data—especially data that is uniform and structured—and can then create new content in response to user input. They have had remarkable success, particularly in image and text generation, and have seen rapid uptake in sectors ranging from education to computer programming. “This technology is set to fundamentally transform everything from science, to business, to healthcare … to society itself,” Accenture analysts enthused in a report. “The positive impact on human creativity and productivity will be massive.”

Powerful New Assistants

Generative AI first gained public attention thanks to its ability to change how we communicate through words, images, and video. It’s no wonder, then, that the world’s largest public relations company has embraced it. Edelman worked with OpenAI to launch the original ChatGPT-2 and delivered the first application in an ad campaign. In the spots for Hellmann’s Mayonnaise, the tool is tasked with finding new ways to use leftovers.

Edelman believes the technology will reconfigure the communications industry, but it won’t replace human ingenuity, strategic advice, and ethical decision-making that builds trust, said Meghan Barstow, president and representative director of Edelman Japan.

“We predict that AI will become an essential assistant in our work, helping to brainstorm, research, summarize, trend spot, monitor media, and generate content, among other tasks,” explained the ACCJ governor and chair of the chamber’s Communications Advisory Council. “The emphasis here is on ‘assistant,’ as we believe there will always be a human in the loop, that AI and people working together will provide the most effective and valuable work output.

“As with any technology, there are risks that require appropriate caution, education, processes, and policies to ensure the safe and trustworthy use of generative AI to protect our work, our clients, and end users from issues related to disinformation, bias, copyright infringement, and privacy.”

Similarly, lawyers such as Catherine O’Connell are also using generative AI as smart assistants. O’Connell is principal and founder of Catherine O’Connell Law and co-chair of the American Chamber of Commerce in Japan (ACCJ) Legal Services and IP Committee.

After taking a course on how to get the most out of ChatGPT, she has been using it for writing keynote speeches, article outlines, posts on social media, and skeletons of presentations. She compares the tool to a human intern, and praises its time-saving efficiencies, but warns that it should not be used for legal work, such as contracts or legal advice. Attorneys in the United States, she noted, have found themselves in trouble after producing legal filings referencing non-existent cases that generative AI simply made up.

“Generative AI is like a teenager that has a lot of promise but has not learned how to be a whole professional yet; it needs guidance,” said O’Connell. “However, in terms of an idea generator or idea expander, a time-saving device, and an assistive tool, generative AI is an asset. The rest falls to me to add my human touch to check and verify, to add my own personality and insights only I have, and to make the output my very own. I think generative AI is so good that its cousin, Google search, may be out of a job sometime soon.”

Smart Tools for Talent

Recruiting is another industry in which workers deal with mountains of structured data, in the form of resumes and online posts, that can be utilized by AI. Robert Half Japan, an ACCJ Corporate Sustaining Member company, uses a system called AI Recommended Talent (ART) to match resumes to client needs. The system speeds up matching for job hunters and employers, allowing staff to spend more time with clients.

“The real power of generative AI is how much it can integrate with our existing systems,” explained Steven Li, senior division director for cybersecurity. “We are piloting ChatGPT-4 integration in our Salesforce CRM. Studies have shown benefits from integrating generative AI into workflows. Other industry examples that highlight the benefit of integration include the GitHub CoPilot generative AI feature.”

The effectiveness of AI in recruiting has led some people to speculate that it could render many human recruiters obsolete. Deep learning algorithms are figuring out what a good resume looks like, and generative AI can craft approach messages and InMails, a form of direct message on the popular LinkedIn platform, noted Daniel Bamford, Robert Half’s associate director for technology.

“However, the real value of agency recruitment is not, and never was, a simple job-description-to-resume matching service,” added Bamford. “Agency recruitment done well is a wonderful journey of problem-solving, involving the goals of organizations and teams and the values and desires of individuals. Excellent recruiters will thrive. They will use AI’s capacity to handle simple tasks like scheduling and shortlisting. This will free up time for high-value interactions, delivering even greater value for their partners and industries through the human touch. The future of excellent recruiters will be brighter with AI’s support.”

Tracking Ships and Patients

Even a traditionally hardware-oriented industry like logistics is being transformed by generative AI. Shipping giant Maersk is using a predictive cargo arrival model to help customers reduce costs with more reliable supply chains. It also wants to harness the power of AI to recommend solutions when shipping routes are congested, advising on whether goods should be flown or stored, and better understand the sales process, Navneet Kapoor, Maersk’s chief technology and information officer, told CNBC.

Maurice Lyn, head of Managed by Maersk for Northeast Asia, also sees great potential in the technology. “The biggest changes that I foresee will be related to the enhanced visibility into, and agility of the management of, the global supply chains of our clients on an execution level,” he told The ACCJ Journal. “The data aggregated will allow logistics service providers [LSPs] to deliver predictive and proactive solutions to our clients. If clearly interpreted by the LSPs, stability and uniformity of costs and deliverables will be provided globally and locally to our clients.”

Generative AI may even help us live longer, healthier lives via long-term patient monitoring. Sydney-based medical AI startup Prospection recently launched its first generative-AI model in Japan to analyze anonymized patient data for pharmaceutical companies so they can better understand patient needs. A Japanese drug company, for instance, could look at cancer patient outcomes across the country and find that they are slightly worse in a particular region, possibly because less-effective drugs are prescribed there.

Founded in 2012 and operating in Australia, Japan, and the United States, Prospection now has data on half a billion patients. For the first 10 years, it was using traditional AI methods, but generative AI has opened new services for the company. Users can query Prospection’s AI services about typical pathways for patients who took a certain drug, or what therapy they underwent after quitting the medication. A Prospection model can predict whether a patient will experience a certain event, such as needing to be hospitalized, over the next year.

“The ChatGPT transformer model is trained on billions of sentences consisting of words. We see each patient’s journey as the sentence and events in the journey as the words. That’s the vocabulary,” said Eric Chung, co-founder and co-CEO of Prospection. “The data is very powerful. There are lots of insights to be gained from data on 500 million patients. It’s beyond the power of humans to analyze, but AI can do it.”

Tim Hornyak

Tim Hornyak is a Canadian writer based in Tokyo who has worked in journalism for more than 25 years. His writing has appeared in media including the New York Times, Nature, Science, Scientific American, and the Japan Times, as well as IDG News, CNBC, and CNET. He is also the author of Loving the Machine: The Art and Science of Japanese Robots.

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